Friday, November 4, 2022

Yet another month of good job and wage growth for October.

On the eve of midterms, we got one last jobs report in for October today. And things continued to look very good in the labor market.

But 4.7% wage growth (and a 0.4% increase in October) still isn't bad, especially as wages have continued to climb after inflation leveled off after June. We've now seen 8 straight months of average hourly wages going up 0.3% or more, with the biggest gains continuing to be at the lower parts of the wage scale. But we also aren't seeing wages go up by so much that it would trigger a severe wage-price spiral.

In looking at sectors and job growth, health care has had a remarkable comeback from the huge deficits that hit in the first year post-COVID. The sector has now gained over 500,000 jobs in the last 12 months, and has more jobs in it now than it did before the pandemic.

That 32,000 job gain in manufacturing is also notable, especially in contrast to the flat growth in the construction sector. We now have larger job gains in the manufacturing sector since the start of the pandemic than we do in construction, despite the fact that manufacturing had a much larger COVID-era deficit when Joe Biden took office in January 2021.

Despite the Fed's best attempts, this is still a pretty darn good jobs market. But as a UW-Madison economics professor points out, our media stays fixated on an INFLATION that has been cooling off for the last 4 months, to the point that the reality of our great jobs market has become largely ignored.

LIBERAL MEDIA MY ASS!!!

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