Thursday, January 22, 2015

Strong Wisconsin jobs continue for December. Is it real?

Apparently the country’s job boom has finally been hitting Wisconsin over the last few months. We saw further evidence of this in the Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development’s release of the December 2014 jobs report for the state. The top-line numbers are very good, with 7,600 private sector jobs added, and 5,100 overall, and November’s figures being revised up by 1,500 more private sector jobs.

The biggest-gaining sector in the state was in Construction, which had lower-than-normal seasonal layoffs in December (7,000), resulting in a seasonally-adjusted gain of 2,900. The Transportation, Warehousing and Utilities category also did well, up 1,900 with the seasonal adjustment. Manufacturing took a bit of a dip in December (down 200 jobs) but with November’s figures being revised up by 600 in that sector, even that number is better off than we knew last month. The state's unemployment rate did not change from 5.2% while the U.S. dropped by 0.2% to 5.6%, but it still indicated slight gains in both the number of people employed and in the total labor force, which should be taken as a positive sign.

It’s been a remarkable run-up of jobs in these monthly reports since June, with 46,300 private sector jobs added in the last 6 months, and 45,300 overall. It’s cut a significant chunk out of the Walker jobs gap from more than 74,000 private sector jobs in August to less than 53,000 today, and it ends the first Walker term at just over 158,000 jobs. Not exactly the 250,000 the Guv predicted, but it was apparently enough to keep a sufficient amount of Wisconsin voters from kicking him out. You can see the upswing on this chart which goes back to the start of Walker's term in office.



This all sounds good, and certainly the “Help Wanted” signs I see around Madison indicate things are in a better spot than they were at the start of this decade, at least in the Capitol City (funny how these things happen in a highly-educated liberal town where people want to move to). However, I’d approach the recent positive job reports with some skepticism. These alleged gains have yet to manifest themselves in increased tax revenues (as mentioned earlier this week, Wisconsin’s income tax revenues continue to badly lag projections), which shouldn’t be happening if the job market is truly booming. There’s a disconnect here that does not make sense, unless all of the jobs being added pay very low wages (which is a possibility, as UW-Milwaukee Professor Marc Levine noted last year that low-wage jobs were the only ones that had increased in the Age of Fitzwalkerstan).

Secondly, these figures are due for annual benchmark revisions that come out with the next monthly jobs report, which will be in early March. These revisions are often based on figures from the “gold standard” Quarterly Census on Wages and Employment, and those figures have yet to show the same amount of growth- Wisconsin still lingered in last place for Midwestern job growth in the 12 months leading up to June 2014. Now maybe that’ll change with upcoming QCEW releases, but we saw this same pattern last year, when the monthly reports indicated private sector job growth of 39,700 for all of 2013, but the QCEW said the state only added 29,723 that year.

Those caveats certainly won't stop Scott Walker from trying to take credit for the latest good job figures in this monthly report, as a way of selling his presidential campaign to unsuspecting folks from out of state. You can see why he might do this, but watch for more information over the next few weeks that confirm or deny whether we are really living through a “Wisconsin comeback” or a “dead cat bounce" that'll soon see the state reverting to the subpar job growth that has been the general rule in the Age of Fitzwalkerstan.

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Stop the Koch-funded deceptions. Build the streetcar

With today's headlines showing preliminary approval for the Milwaukee streetcar finally being built, I would encourage you to read Bruce Murphy’s column in Urban Milwaukee on the big-money interests behind the people trying to stop the project from proceeding. Much of the funding and organizaed media campaign can be traced back to Koch front group Americans for Prosperity, as well as the Milwaukee County GOP front group Citizens for Responsible Government. Murphy’s article shows this opposition to be a minimal and weak combination of loudmouth political opportunists (Alders Bob Donovan and Joe Davis) along with anti-city Astroturf organizations. And like most things in Milwaukee’s right-wing world, these people have had to desperately resort to lies, exaggerations, and paid AM radio propagandists (Hi Icki!) to even have a semblance of a movement.

With that in mind, I’d like to clear up some misconceptions about the streetcar project. Given that I have had dealings with both the City of Milwaukee and the Federal Transit Administration in my past career, I think I can help explain the different agencies and funding involved, and show you that almost all Wisconsinites will not pay a DIME toward this project, unless they choose to use it themselves when visiting the Brew City.

First of all, the streetcar project will be built using federal money that goes to the City of Milwaukee, and this money from the U.S. DOT’s Federal Transit Administration can only be used for rail-type transit such as a streetcar. Before he became a reporter for Urban Milwaukee, Jeramey Jannene gave a good timeline of this issue for onmilwaukee.com 6 years ago, explaining that the source of funding for this project goes all the way back to 1991. Squabbling over whether to have a bus lane on Milwaukee’s freeways led to some of the money to be taken back, and then some other parts went into Milwaukee-area freeway projects such as the Marquette Interchange, leaving $91.5 million specifically earmarked for start-up costs for an electric-based transit system in downtown Milwaukee.

In the late 2000s, the debate on what to do with the money came to a head with two familiar Milwaukee-area elected officials butting heads, and ultimately having the situation resolved by an act of Congress.
2007-2008 - Tom Barrett and Scott Walker each pushed the issue of the $91.5 [million] much more publicly. Barrett unveiled a plan that included a downtown streetcar loop and two express bus lines, and talked of reconfiguring existing bus service to work with new, express service. Walker unveiled an express bus plan scant on details, but complete with attacks on the Mayor's plan. It appeared he had the intention to simply cut all standard bus service in the areas to be served by express buses. Both, being career politicians, cleverly avoided any mention of the money needed to operate such a system after building it.

September 9th, 2008 - Tom Barrett and Scott Walker debate the merits of their respective proposals at a forum at Marquette moderated by Mike Gousha. Barrett offers to split the $91.5 million 50/50 in person to Walker (an idea he had been proposing for weeks if not months prior), Walker refuses.

March 2009 - Senator Herb Kohl and Representative David Obey include an earmark provision in the bill that became the Omnibus Appropriations Act of 2009 that divided the $91.5 million between the City of Milwaukee and Milwaukee County. Milwaukee County received 40% ($36.6 million), with the City of Milwaukee receiving 60% ($54.9 million). Barrett and Walker are each now free to pursue using their respective allocated funds to build a new mode of transit service in Milwaukee.
The Milwaukee County portion of the funding went toward buying new buses in 2012 and 2013, in an attempt to reduce the backlog of maintenance and fleet needs that had ballooned under Walker. The City of Milwaukee’s $54.9 million has yet to be used, and can only be used for rail-based systems such as light rail or streetcars – it cannot be repurposed to buses or other transit without another act of Congress (much like how the state’s $800 million of high-speed rail money could not be used for other transportation needs, as we all found out in 2010 and 2011).

Which brings us to where we are today. If you look at the actual bill that was procedurally delayed today (and likely to be passed next month), you’ll see that the City already has the money set aside for the non-federal share of the streetcar line.
Further Resolved, That the $44.0 million local share of capital costs for the Phase 1 Starter System and $15.0 million local share of capital costs for the Lakefront Streetcar Line shall be funded as follows:

· $9.7 million - Tax Incremental District No. 49 (Cathedral Place); previously approved through adoption of Common Council File Number 110372.

· $18.3 million - Tax Incremental District No. 56 (Erie/Jefferson Street); subject to Common Council adoption of File Number 141264.

· $31.0 million - Tax Incremental District No. 82 (East Michigan Street); subject to Common Council adoption of File Number 141263.
This simply sets aside funding in a TID with the idea that property values and development will occur on and near the streetcar line, and that the added property values will then help reduce the property tax burden for homeowners and businesses throughout the city. Now you can debate whether funding streetcar development is a good use of a TID (I say yes, others may disagree), but you don’t get to say that funds are being diverted from other needs such as cops or libraries or street repair, because that’s not the truth.

And if you’re concerned about ongoing costs of operating the streetcar, the legislation notes that the City has in its hands $3.18 million dollars from the FTA on a CMAQ air-quality grant that helps defray those costs. This is the same type of CMAQ grant that the Milwaukee County Transit System has used to operate its express buses since 2012, including four new routes that started up this month. The City also plans to use revenue from fare-paying customers, corporate sponsorships, and (if necessary) Parking Fund revenues to pay for the locally-based costs of running the streetcar.

If you look at the Wisconsin Department of Transportation’s budget request for 2015-17, there are no state operating funds currently being set aside for a Milwaukee streetcar project, nor are any funds being requested, and the City of Milwaukee’s proposed legislation does not count on getting any (the resolution does ask for a “dedicated local funding source for public transit in Milwaukee County” - much like what existed in the former SE Wisconsin RTA). So why should suburbanites care about whether the CITY wants to build its streetcar line in the CITY? In fact, the start of a streetcar line’s operation could open up MCTS for some efficiencies, as the bus system could cut back on some of their downtown buses since the streetcar would be a duplication of service, and instead use their limited resources to give or increase bus services to other parts of the county. You would think that would be a good thing for the ‘burbs, in addition to the positives that would come from having a more vibrant anchor city with new development and an image that the Milwaukee area is moving forward.

Honestly, a lot of the complaints against the streetcar just seem to be based in the Walker-esque “divide and conquer” mentality from a group of anti-city right-wingers. These people don’t like Mayor Tom Barrett, don’t like transit in general, and are more than willing to shill for the Kochs and the Bradleys on AM radio and elsewhere in right-wing bubble world if it gives them a few more dollars and public attention. And they often like to dump on the state’s largest city and economic engine because….it makes their mediocre selves feel superior? And stopping the streetcar would be a “victory” for the righties that would result in.....what?

The useful idiots that are being used by people such as the Kochs and Bradleys to obstruct the streetcar are people who don’t really care about how tax dollars are being used (many of these dimwits don’t seem to even know the sources and limitations of the funds that I’ve laid out above), and they don’t care about improving the quality of life for the City of Milwaukee by making it more attractive for businesses and employees with talent. They just want to stamp their feet like the adolescents they are, and don’t offer any solutions to these issues of transportation and economic development other than a cynical demand to get their way and get more money out of it for themselves. There is no concept of a "big picture" in Milwaukee-area right-wing world.

Which is why these ignoramuses should be laughed out of the public debate, and their wasteful and pointless delay tactics should be ignored and ridiculed. After 6 years of debate and numerous stall tactics by the big-money oligarchs, it is well past time to get the Milwaukee Steetcar built.

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

December revenues widen Wisconsin's budget hole even further

Another month, and another subpar report on Wisconsin tax figures from the state’s Department of Revenue. This time, it shows that income and corporate taxes collected are going down even faster, and even sales tax growth slowed some. The state’s overall tax intake also on the decline.

Wisconsin tax revenues, Dec. 2014 vs Dec. 2013
Income taxes -3.2% vs Dec 2013
FY 2015 Year-To-Date -6.4% vs FY 2014 YTD

Sales taxes +3.7% vs Dec 2013
FY 2015 Year-To-Date +4.7% vs FY 2014 YTD

Corporate taxes -11.2% vs Dec 2013
FY 2015 Year-To-Date -8.0% vs FY 2014 YTD

Excise taxes -2.1% vs Dec 2013
FY 2015 Year-To-Date -2.6% vs FY 2014 YTD

Total taxes collected -2.6% vs. Dec 2013
FY 2015 Year-to-Date -2.6% vs FY 2014 YTD

To control the damage from that report, the DOR quickly followed with this document, which tries to indicate that revenues are doing juuuuust fine, and that there’s nothing to worry about. However, a quick look inside the numbers shows that there is plenty to fear from what our current and future budget numbers are likely to hold.

Let’s start with the income tax figures, since those make up the majority of the state’s General Fund revenues. These figures have been down compared in Fiscal Year 2015 compared to Fiscal Year 2014 in no small part due to two rounds of Koo-Koo tax cuts, and the moving of withholding tables in April 2014 that have reduced the amount of money that was coming in to the state (what, you didn’t notice the extra $10 a paycheck you got?). The Legislative Fiscal Bureau estimated this change in withholding tables to be equivalent to about $55 million a month (as noted under Provision 16 on Page 10 of this PDF). As a result, it is only fair to adjust the income tax figures accordingly, to make an apples-to-apples comparison, which means that we should add $330 million to the income tax totals for FY 2015 at this time.

Adjusted income tax revenues YTD, FY 2015 vs FY 2014
FY 2014 YTD $3.617 billion
FY 2015 YTD $3.714.8 billion (+2.7%)

A 2.7% increase in income taxes looks good on first glance, and that $330 million in added revenue also means the adjusted overall tax revenue increase is just under 2.3%. But this hides a second concern that will become more apparent in the coming months, because what goes down must come back up when it comes to adjustments for this. And the LFB spells out how that’ll happen.
In 2014-15, withholding taxes will be reduced for twelve months, which will be partially offset by lower refunds (and larger remittances) paid in the Spring of 2015. However, the lower refunds will reflect only nine months of reduced withholding taxes in calendar year 2014 (from April through December), which means there will be a second one-time loss in 2014-15. Beginning in 2015-16, the reduced withholding taxes will be offset by lower refunds and higher remittances during the tax filing season [in Spring 2016].
That’s right, we’re looking at lower tax refunds for this year, so I hope you didn’t blow all of that $10 a paycheck already.

As a result, income tax collections should go up compared to 2013-14 solely on the basis of these lower tax refunds. Here’s my crude calculation of how that adjustment will work:

Jan ‘15 adjust -$55 million due to lower withholding vs 2013-14
Feb ’15 adjust -$55 mil for withholding, +$165 mil for lower refunds
Mar ’15 adjust -$55 mil for withholding, +$165 mil for lower refunds
Apr ’15 adjust NONE for withholding, +$165 mil for lower refunds
May- June 2015 no adjustments either way.
NET CHANGE IN ADJUSTMENTS +$330 million

So now that we know the adjustments for income taxes, let’s go back to the DOR projection of revenues, and see what needs to happen to hit the target by the end of June.

Jan-June 2015 change needed to hit DOR income tax target
Adjusted income tax change needed +9.9%
Current adjusted income tax change FY 2015 +2.7%
PROJECTED SHORTFALL $247.5 MILLION

We can do the same analysis for the other 3 main taxes in Wisconsin as well, and you’ll notice corporate taxes are especially lagging (calling Dr. Morbius!).

Jan-June 2015 Sales tax change needed to hit DOR target
Sales tax change needed +3.7%
Current sales tax change FY 2015 +4.7%
PROJECTED SURPLUS $26.3 MILLION

Jan-June 2015 Corp. tax change needed to hit DOR target
Corp tax change needed +16.1%
Current corp tax change FY 2015 -8.0%
PROJECTED SHORTFALL $118.4 MILLION

Jan-June 2015 Excise tax change needed to hit DOR target
Excise tax change needed +3.7%
Current excise tax change FY 2015 -2.6%
PROJECTED SHORTFALL $24.6 MILLION

I’ll be generous and assume all of the remaining minor taxes add up to the DOR projections, so based on these four categories, here’s what we get.

Projected budget revenue pace vs DOR projections, FY 2015
Income tax -$247.5 million
Sales tax +$26.3 million
Corporate tax -$118.4 million
Excise tax -$24.6 million
ESTIMATED TOTAL SHORTFALL $367.6 MILLION

And remember, the DOR estimated a $132 million budget shortfall for this fiscal year even with their rosy revenue projections, so add $367 million onto that, and you are right at $500 million that has to be made up in the next 6 months. And with another $735 million or so that must be added onto the $2.2 billion deficit for the next budget, because the revenue shortfall means a lower base to start from, you're looking at a looming 2015-17 deficit near $3 billion.



Yep, we're still in the ditch, and no matter how the Walker appointees try to spin it, we’re going to stay there, barring some miraculous boom in revenues between now and the end of June. And as Sunday's Packer debacle reminded us, the only miracles in these parts recently seem to be the negative kind.

Monday, January 19, 2015

The reckoning of the morning after

Yeah, I can't see myself forgetting that Packer meltdown yesterday. To see your team blow a chance like that....this really hurts. You never know if a chance that good will come around again.

How unlikely was this loss? I'll let ESPN's win-probability and X and O guru Bill Barnwell explain, with my added thoughts in italics.
When [Seahawk QB Russell ] Wilson had his fourth interception of the day bounce off Jermaine Kearse’s fingertips and into Morgan Burnett’s hands with 5:04 left, the Packers were up by 12 points and had the ball near midfield. ESPN Stats & Information estimates that Seattle’s chances of winning in that exact situation were a lowly 3.9 percent. Take the team with the best point differential in NFL post-merger history, the 2007 Patriots, and have it travel back in time to take on the worst team in post-merger history, the 1976 Buccaneers, in Tampa Bay. The Bucs’ chances of winning that game per the log5 method are 4.3 percent, narrowly better than where the Seahawks stood with a little more than five minutes to go.

Seattle needed just about everything to go right from that point forward, and as you already know, that’s exactly what happened. Outside of Lynch narrowly stepping out of bounds on a wheel route that otherwise would have been the first touchdown in Seattle’s comeback, the Seahawks suddenly exhibited an ability to cast miracles on demand. Of course, there was the expected onside kick, a 21.1 percent shot that went Seattle’s way in a spot where the game all but surely would have ended had the Packers recovered. More on that in a moment. There was the only 2-yard Hail Mary you’ll ever see, a two-point conversion that somehow fell into the waiting arms of Luke Willson. (that play absolutely killed me, how Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix and the rest of the Packer defense just stood around and let that crap get completed). That play ended up saving Seattle’s bacon when the Packers were able to kick a field goal on their ensuing drive. With a defense riddled by injuries, it was a blessing that the Seahawks won the overtime coin toss, never giving the ball back to Aaron Rodgers & Co.
Of course, it never should have come down to a 1 in 25 chance of losing, because this game should have been put away well before the last 5 minutes. Barnwell notes that Packer Coach Mike McCarthy deciding to kick field goals two times from the 1-yard-line in the 1st Quarter ended up costing the Packers a total of 2.6 points in win expectancy. Now maybe the play-calling menu was a little light due to Aaron Rodgers not being as mobile as normal (so rollouts and run-pass options were less likely), but if even 1 of those 2 attempts to go for it work, that's 7 points vs. 6, and even getting stuffed leaves Seattle in horrible field position, which often ends up resulting in points for the Pack within the next 2 possessions.

But the even more egregious coaching error comes from the fact that the injury-riddled and tired Seahawk defense wasn't exactly tested by the likely NFL MVP in the 4th quarter. And that's where me and Barnwell have a special issue with the way this game ended up, and why I look to the sidelines for the reason behind this collapse.
The first was the more egregious of the two. Taking over on their own 13-yard line with 6:53 to go after a 57-yard drive that led to a field goal on their last possession (a really good drive that featured a key 3rd-down conversion pass to Richard Rodgers) , the Packers took over and got ultra-conservative. They ran twice with James Starks before calling for a hitch route to an isolated Andrew Quarless versus linebacker K.J. Wright on third-and-4, which fell incomplete under some pressure from Wright. It was the same play call that won Green Bay the game against Miami late in the fourth quarter, but that was versus abysmal coverage linebacker Philip Wheeler; Wright is one of the better linebackers in football.

The second drive was mostly circumstance. After the interception, the Packers ran the ball with Lacy for a loss of 4, at which point the Seahawks called timeout. I can understand wanting to run clock on the next play, which went for a loss of 2 and another timeout. At third-and-16 and with the clock stopped, a third running play seems reasonable enough.
The results are bad enough, 6 plays, 2 yards, 2 punts, and only 2:52 taken off the clock. But let's note that the mix was 1 pass, 5 runs, when you have the best QB in football and Seawhawks star DB Richard Sherman is playing with one arm. Running the ball may take time off the clock and/or force the other team to take timeouts, but you know what's even more effective at that? GETTING FIRST DOWNS. Sure enough, on the Packers' drive to tie the game at the end of regulation, 3 straight pass plays netted the team 42 yards. Yes, Seattle wasn't playing as tight on defense given the end-of-game situation as they may have been when they were losing and pressing to make a play, but that also opens up opportunities for the Packers' 3 wideouts and Rodgers' usually-strong accuracy. It's just an idiotic, risk-averse strategy to grind the ball into the line at a time when the Seahawks are selling out for the run.

And when you're the Green Bay Packers and lucky enough to have the best QB in the game in his prime, you don't let opportunities slip away like this. The only positive for me in this disastrous Packer loss is that it has happened after I've lived to see the Pack make 3 Super Bowls and win 2. If this was the 1995 season, and 21-year-old Jake was watching this giveaway without having ever seen the Pack in the Super Bowl in his lifetime? I might not be out of bed or able to even read anything about the game, instead of continually shaking my head and seething like I am today.

Fuck it, onto college hoops season.

Sunday, January 18, 2015

Today's Sunday priorities

I could do a long post on why I'm loving the idea of President Obama asking for higher capital gains taxes (LOOOOOONG overdue, as this disparity in "legalized gambling vs. working" income taxes has led to a lot of our country's economic problems), but I gotta focus. And that's not just because there's no way the corporate-owned GOP Congress would ever allow their benefactors to have their casino get taxed more fairly. There are more important things going on in the world today.

Like this. Yes, the players are a bit dated and have moved on, but this team never is. Shock the world, Pack!



And if you want the best analysis over the air of this game as well as last week's, you need to check out Milw Alder Nik Kovac and others on Packerverse. You'll sound smarter when you're watching the game with your friends later today, and not just because of the X's and O's.

Saturday, January 17, 2015

Michigan continues state trends of tax breaks = budget deficit

Add Michigan to Wisconsin, Kansas and North Carolina onto the growing list of states that have budget problems after offering tax breaks to businesses and rich people. Yesterday the Wolverine State revealed it has a $325 million current-year budget deficit, and future year deficits as well, although as Michigan-based MLive notes, some of the reason is oddly related to Michigan's bounce back from the Great Recession.
Ironically, the growing economy may be largely to blame for the budget crunch. More companies are meeting job number requirements to cash in refundable credits issued under the old Michigan Business Tax, which was scrapped in 2012.

An unexpected number of refunds this year means the state is generating significantly less revenue than officials had anticipated in May. The state has a hard time anticipating when refunds will be requested, and some of the credits can be redeemed through at least 2032.

“We’re talking about something that isn’t going to go away any time soon, and as the economy picks up … taxpayers may be more likely to claim them than they would have been during the recession,” said Jim Stansell of the House Fiscal Agency.

Republicans have largely blamed the budget crunch on previous administrations that relied on tax credits as an economic development tool. [Gov Rick] Snyder and the GOP-led Legislature scrapped the MBT in 2011 and replaced it with a flat Corporate Income Tax, exempting a number of small and medium-sized businesses in the process.
Michigan was hit as bad as any state by the lousy economy of the mid-to-late 2000s, which helps explain the desperation to attract and keep jobs by any means possible, but it has generally bounced back well once President Obama's bailout of the auto industry began in 2009 and the national economy began to recover. Its job growth has slowed some in 2014 compared to the previous years (guess that (right-to) work-for-less thing wasn't a magic pill, was it?), but since there's still growth, it makes it likely that some of these businesses hit their thresholds in 2014, and will write that off when they file their taxes this year.

And if you remember, it was an unexpectedly high amount of tax refunds that started to lead to Wisconsin's budget shortfall in 2014. This time last year, we were halfway through Fiscal Year 2014, and Wisconsin's income tax collections were up 4.7% vs the halfway point of Fiscal Year 2013. Corporate tax collections were way up, at 20.6%, and those figures were instrumental in having the Legislative Fiscal Bureau up their revenue estimates for the rest of the 2013-15 budget by $893 million. But the lower revenue effect of the first round of Koo-Koo tax cuts that affected the 2013 tax year had largely yet to be seen, since the withholding tables hadn't been adjusted, and so the only time it would hit the state treasury would be as people handed in their tax returns.

Sure enough, as the tax returns came in for January, February, March and April, Wisconsin's tax income and corporate tax revenues plummeted.

Wisconsin income and corporate tax revenues, Jan-Mar 2013 vs. Jan-Mar 2014
Jan-April 2013 income taxes $2.408 billion
Jan-April 2014 income taxes $1.982 billion (-$426 million, -17.7%)

Jan-April 2013 corp. taxes $352.4 million
Jan-April 2014 corp. taxes $290.2 million (-$62.2 million, -17.6%)

Only about $55 million of the income tax decrease was due to the lower withholdings that started in April 2014, so you can't blame that either. In addition, these lower revenues did not spur businesses into hiring people on any great scale, as only 9,500 private sector jobs were added, and 14,000 overall in a time when the U.S. job market started to take off. Sure, there has been 3 months of good jobs numbers since then, but that could simply be catching up to the hole that we were already in, and our tax revenue collections certainly have not benefitted from those allegedly higher job numbers in the Fall, as we are likely to be more than $400 million in the hole for this fiscal year, and more than $2 billion down for the next.

What this tells me is that cutting taxes for the rich and corporate do little if anything for job growth, but because the rich and corporate have more time on their hands to do tax-avoiding behavior, they tend to be more likely to take advantage of the breaks they are given. The problem is that these people pocket the profits and extra tax refunds instead of putting it back into the economy for a useful purpose, or even worse, they take it out of the economy and into more risky and unproductive ventures because the tax code encourages them to.

So if we want to balance budgets and create jobs, maybe a better strategy is to make the rich and corporate pay back some of the excessive profit and income they've been able to grab by gaming the tax code, and instead concentrate on giving raises to workers who not only will pay more taxes on higher incomes, but also might use some of that extra money to do something worthwhile that helps other businesses and individuals in the state get by. It's just a thought.

Friday, January 16, 2015

Brewers and Bucks don't pay property taxes? Yes, it's true

Bruce Murphy had a very intriguing article in Urban Milwaukee discussing how the City of Milwaukee has lost over $100 million in property tax revenue in the 14 years Miller Park has been open. And with the financing of a new Bucks arena sure to be debating in the comijng months, Murphy notes that any Bucks arena deal will likely add to the amount of property that can be taxed in the city.

How did this happen? It starts back from when the Brew Crew played at County Stadium in 1991, and the State Legislature passed a provision to give the Brewers a break.
The change in the law came at a time when the Milwaukee Brewers were doing poorly and then-owner Bud Selig was constantly harping about the travails of a small market-team. Once Miller Park was built, the revenue flowing to the team and its market value rose incredibly, yet that law was still on the books, so Miller Park remained completely tax exempt. As City of Milwaukee assessor Mary Reavey noted in an email responding to my question, “this means that all the businesses like TGI Fridays, the Brewer stores, etc are all now exempt from property taxes for both real estate and personal property.”

Legislators were apparently unaware this exemption was on the books, until 2003, when they asked the Legislative Audit Bureau to review the Brewers’ finances, and the LAB revealed that the team was exempt.

Indeed, the assumption was that the Brewers, who own 31.5 percent of Miller Park, based on their contribution to construction of the stadium (a contribution which was itself controversial since almost none of it came from the team), would be paying property taxes on at least their share of the stadium. Nope.
Murphy estimates that this exemption means that the Brewers have avoided $106 million in property taxes over time, and city residents and businesses have to take up an extra share of property taxes to make up for that difference.

Regarding the Bucks and their property tax situation, the Bradley Center is already considered to be a non-profit and exempt from taxes, because it was donated by the Pettit family and is overseen by the state (which is part of the reason the state has ponied up money for Bradley Center maintenance in the past). What Murphy notes is that the law that exempts the Brewers from Milwaukee property taxes can also come into play with a new Bucks arena is under the provision.
So how will the Bucks manage to claim this exemption? I’m guessing their lawyers have concluded that the 1991 law covering pro sports “stadiums” will cover this new arena. The law, 70.11(36)(a)(a), covers “Property consisting of or contained in a sports and entertainment home stadium, except a football stadium” which is “leased to or primarily used by a professional athletic team that is a member of a league that includes teams that have home stadiums in other states.” The exclusion of football allows the argument that the legislature intended to include all other pro sports team facilities, including a basketball “stadium.”

If so, this means that unlike all other businesses in Milwaukee, which pay property taxes to help support all the city services they receive — police, fire, garbage collection, snow-plowing — the billionaires who own the Bucks will pay nothing. Similarly, Brewers’ owner Mark Attanasio (with an estimated net worth of $700 million) pays nothing in property taxes.
Remember, the City of Milwaukee doesn't collect a dime in sales, income or excise taxes, which means the property tax, fines and fees become pretty much the only way the city can generate its own revenues. And when the State of Wisconsin has continually reduced shared revenues to the state's largest city over the last 20 years, with the 2010s featuring a GOP-run State Legislature that almost seems to enjoy hurting Milwaukee to make their suburban base in the 262 area code feel superior, the City of Milwaukee is already having a hard time coming up with the money paying its bills. Losing hundreds of millions of dollars worth of property due to exemptions given to the Brewers and the Bucks is a major hit for city finances, and puts an unfair burden on the city's already-stressed homeowners and businesses.

With the Miller Park tax seeming to be within 5 years of finally sunsetting and the Bucks arena issue sure to heat up over the next few months, Murphy's article is a good reminder that the City of Milwaukee's two sports teams are already receiving major tax breaks due to their property tax exemptions. It also suggests that we should be hesitant to give these guys everything they ask for, since they're already taking advantage of a very good deal at a whole lot of expense to many others in Milwaukee.