This week’s Marquette Law School Poll had closer-than expected presidential and Senate races. Some of that can be attributed to iffy demographic breakdowns that seemed to underplay Dem-leaning constituencies (which I talked about in this post), but the other big reason was surprising strength for the GOP candidates in the Green Bay/Appleton media market in Northeastern Wisconsin.
If you dig into the crosstabs of the Marquette Law School poll, you’ll see how things are very different in the 920 vs how they shake out statewide. I’ll use the wider “registered voters” screen in that poll, as it’ll increase the sample sizes and the basic point remains the same.
Green Bay-Appleton vs Wisconsin
Wisconsin- Clinton 45-40
GB/Appleton- Trump 51-34
Wisconsin- Clinton 41, Trump 35, Johnson 11
GB/Appleton- Trump 48, Clinton 30, Johnson 10
Wisconsin- Feingold 47-44
GB/Appleton- Johnson 51-42
Wisconsin- Feingold 44, Johnson 42, Anderson 6
GB/Appleton- Johnson 50, Feingold 40, Anderson 4
I’d be very uncomfortable if ____ was president.”
These numbers help explain why Donald Trump is showing up in Green Bay again on Monday (although Ron Johnson and most other elected WisGOPs are apparently “too busy” to appear with Drumpf), and it’s a bit of an ominous sign statewide for Dems. The GB/Appleton metro area voted in the neighborhood of 52-48 GOP in the presidential race of 2012, but gave over 60% of its votes to Scott Walker in 2014 and Rebecca Bradley in April 2016, which is what put those GOPs over the top in their elections.
And after years of groundwater contamination in Kewaunee County, defunded public schools in the largest NE Wisconsin cities, and the generally disgusting nature of Trump and Trump’s candidacy, WHY THE FUCK IS THAT AREA LEANING GOP MORE THAN EVER? Is it because too many of these guys never get out of “Packer Sunday yah-knooow-dere” mode to take a look at what’s actually going on in their communities?
I remember when pictures like that made me laugh and say “Ahhh, that’s my culture right there.” Now, they just make me seethe and shake my head, because I can’t help but think “These are the fuckheads that elected Walker and (mo)Ron Johnson and put this state into the dumper.”
You’ve been killing us, 920. I’m going to be watching the election results in your area very closely on November 8. If those Marquette Poll figures hold up, and you prove to be filled with dimwitted Trumpkins, it’ll be time for you to be cut off and sent home.