A few more charts from Tuesday's election

From the always-great J. Miles Coleman of Decision Desk HQ

Here's the change from the 2018 #WIGov race to the #WisconsinSupremeCourt result last night. Lisa Neubauer (D-aligned) did about 1.5% worse than Tony Evers overall, but better in 44 of the 72 counties. Her gains in Madison, and the west, were cancelled out by the Milwaukee area. pic.twitter.com/u7exLu07F9

— J. Miles Coleman (@JMilesColeman) April 3, 2019

But note the loss is generally in the higher-population counties. And Hagedorn's strength in the northern half of Wisconsin was multiplied by the fact that those areas also had a lot more voters than they did in April 2018. FYI, "dark red" Outagamie also ended up higher, as they had a delay in processing and dumped a bunch of votes right after Coleman posted this.

97% is in for #wisupremecourt - about 18% more votes were cast in this election than the court race last year (1.17 million up from 997K). Generally, counties north of the two main metros saw this biggest increases in turnout (Outagamie County, glaringly, is still only 22% in). pic.twitter.com/NdTLxC4lwM

— J. Miles Coleman (@JMilesColeman) April 3, 2019

Those areas of dark blue are...interesting. Combine that with the darker blue streak from Racine, Waukesha, Washington and Fond du Lac, and I think we got a good starting point of counties to request a recount in.

On the flip side, Coleman retreated this breakdown of Milwaukee turnout, which fell,below the state rate of 27%.

2019 #WISupremeCourt City of Milwaukee Turnout by voting ward. @DemocraticLuntz @SenhorRaposa @JMilesColeman @Aseemru @ElectionMapsCo @rudnicknoah pic.twitter.com/zseHbrwbQH

— MettaWorldMaps (@MapsMetta) April 4, 2019

If you think this looks a lot like a map showing the racial makeup of Milwaukee, you would not be alone.

Here also is a couple of other posts from Marquette Law School's Charles Franklin, starting with the base red-blue county map.

With minimal commentary here are a few charts on Wisconsin’s Supreme Court Election this week. Be your own analyst. 1/n pic.twitter.com/1UmTOSS1t8

— Charles Franklin (@PollsAndVotes) April 5, 2019

And here is another way to show the shifts from November 2018 and Walker vs Evers. As you can see, Neubauer won a higher percentage than Evers in many places, but was swamped in the Milwaukee media market. Which is not only Hagedorn's home area, but the home of AM Hate Radio.

Here is the scatterplot and a map of margin shift comparing the Court 2019 with the 2018 Governor’s race. pic.twitter.com/5Vm7C4zK69

— Charles Franklin (@PollsAndVotes) April 5, 2019

I may have more on this in a bit, but the charts do tell a lot. But that being said, 1.2 million voters are not the 2.6 million in 2018, and not the 3.4 million we will likely see in 2020.

EDIT- Here is Coleman breaking down the numbers by town and city, which is even more telling that a county map to me.

Thanks to the help of @DecisionDeskHQ's reporters, here's this week's #wisconsinsupremecourt by town. Brian Hagedorn (R-aligned) declared victory as he leads Lisa Neubauer (Dem-aligned) by about 6K votes out of 1.2 million cast. #scowis pic.twitter.com/7ms6AVCjRJ

— J. Miles Coleman (@JMilesColeman) April 5, 2019

And this last one is telling as well. It contrasts the 2019 results to the 2011 Prosser-Kloppenburg race, which had a very similar (and suspsicious) 0.5% difference in votes, and it's quite telling how even the WOW Counties and especially SW Wisconsin have shifted blue, which much of the 715 area code has shifted red.

2011-2019 Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Shift and Loyalty Map

Thanks to @JMilesColeman
and @DecisionDeskHQ@ElectionMapsCo @SenhorRaposa @EricPerless @jaketk33 @ishabad @InsaneKaine @HoldenCasey @Aseemru @_alex_joshua @RedistrictNet pic.twitter.com/WvJwM1l31g

— Ben J. Kestenbaum (@BenJKest) April 5, 2019

This is where we're at, people.