MU Law Poll is currently garbage. Why is Charles Franklin allowing that?

Really folks? You read the lazy headlines from media and thought the Wisconsin Governor's race is a dead heat, and Tammy Baldwin only leads Leah Vukmir by 2 points for US Senate? Be smarter than that.

Here are the graphics and the topline number in Chucky Franklin's survey that tells you all you need to know. First, here's the breakdown of voters in last week's primary, which had big-time statewide races at the top for both parties.

With just a few votes out in the #WIGov primary, Democrats cast about 9% more votes than Republicans. In addition to their bases in Milwaukee & Madison, Dems were pretty strong in the Driftless Area (the region bordering IA & MN). #WIPrimary pic.twitter.com/orRMBVQQC9

— J. Miles Coleman (@JMilesColeman) August 15, 2018

And now compare that Dem vs GOP number to what the Marquette Law Poll had as their electorate for November's races, both in registered voters, and in "likely voters".

Electorate breakdown with leaners, August 2018
August 2018 actual primary votes Dem 54, GOP 46
August 2018 Maruqette Law Reg voters GOP 45, Dem 43
August 2018 Marquette Law Likely voters GOP 48, Dem 43

Do those Marquette Law figures seem even close to true, given the REALITY we just saw in last week's elections? No, they don't. So add 5 points toward the Dems for these races (which means Evers by 3-5, and Baldwin by 7-12), and you probably have a closer fit to reality.

So I gotta ask. Why is Charles Franklin coming up with that electorate? Is he intellectually lazy, and just going with whoever picks up the phone when they see a weird number? Or is he BOUGHT OR LYING, given the right-wing Bradley Foundation's ties to both Franklin and the Marquette Law School?

I'm not debating the answers given by whoever allegedly responded to Franklin's poll. I'm questioning why there are so many more Republicans than Democrats answering, when recent voting records show the opposite. And I have a bad feeling why that is. As an associate of mine said tonight.

This early polling will no doubt affect donations, which is the primary concern of campaigns eleven weeks out. Under this hypothesis, the object of biased early polling is to affect the path to election day, and then to be right on election day.

And don't think the Bradleys and Charles Franklin don't know that. This Marquette Poll is a right-wing psy-op, unless Franklin is assuming major WisGOP voter suppression and Russian hacking (and if you are, Chuck, could you please be honest and say so?)

Anyone that cares to look inside Franklin's numbers can see that they're BS, given who has been voting in 2018. But maybe that's the point, and that Franklin is actually giving a cry for help, without being able to say it explicitly (it's a paycheck, right Chuck?) Let's stop thinking the Marquette Law School Poll is the "Voice of God", and is instead a "best-case scenario" for right-wingers in Wisconsin. Once you read it that way, these numbers make a lot more sense.

But it's nice to know what that worst-case scenario is for Dems. Makes you realize this thing is far from over, and it won't be over until the returns come in 76 days from now. Keep pounding folks, because the bad guys won't go away until they're forced to.