Friday, November 23, 2018

In Wisconsin, a redder town usually = a dying town

Start with this.


Then compare to this.


And then combine it with this.
According to turnout estimates analyzed by Tufts University's Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement, under-30 voters supported Evers by a 23-point margin on Nov. 6. That's a significant expansion from 2014, when under-30 voters supported Democratic candidate Mary Burke by just four points more than Republican Gov. Scott Walker.

Evers defeated Walker by 1.1 percentage points in an election with record voter turnout: about 59 percent of the state's voting-age population, or more than 2.6 million people, cast ballots. In its early analysis, CIRCLE estimated that 31 percent of eligible young voters (ages 18-29) voted nationwide. In five states with competitive gubernatorial races combined — Wisconsin included — youth turnout was 35 percent this year, according to the CIRCLE estimates....

In student-dominated wards in La Crosse, turnout was up 45 percent from 2014, according to data provided by NextGen. Evers took about 70 percent of the vote in those wards. Stevens Point's student wards saw a 10 percent increase in turnout and a 10 percent increase in the Democratic margin, with Evers earning 71 percent of the vote. In River Falls, turnout in student-focused wards rose by 36 percent, with an increase of 7 percent in the Democratic margin.

In Oshkosh's student-dominated wards, Evers won about 63 percent of the vote. Turnout in those wards increased by 7 percent from 2014, but the margin for the Democratic candidate increased by 19 percent. Evers won 61 percent of the vote in Green Bay's student wards — a 14 percent increase in the Democratic margin from 2014, and a 19 percent turnout increase.
The correlation seems pretty clear to me. Maybe the places in the purple need to stop voting Red at the state level, because they have lost a lot during the GOP-dominated Age of Fitzwalkerstan. And younger adults don't want to live in those dying, GOP-voting towns.

Then again, maybe that was the intelligence of WisGOP's design.


But you can see where that's not a long-term winner for WisGOP, especially if those younger Wisconsinites don't move out of the state now that the Evers Administration will be in charge.

Combine that with the GOP's gerrymander being set to be broken after 2020, causing more land in the purple/red-voting areas to be taken up by fewer districts, and no wonder why WisGOP is trying to rig things to try to stay in charge. The ALEC crew can see how the thinking and growing parts of the state are turning against them, but they'd rather change the rules than adjust to the changing reality.

They must go down as a result, and GO DOWN HARD.

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