The U.S. population grew by the smallest rate in at least 120 years from 2019 to 2020, according to figures released Tuesday by the U.S. Census Bureau — a trend that demographers say provides a glimpse of the coronavirus pandemic’s toll. Population growth in the U.S. already was stagnant over the past several years due to immigration restrictions and a dip in fertility, but coronavirus-related deaths exacerbated that lethargic-growth trend, said William Frey, a senior fellow at The Brooking Institution’s Metropolitan Policy Program.... The U.S. population grew by 0.35% from July 2019 to July 2020, an increase of 1.1 million people in a nation whose estimated population in July was more than 329 million residents, according to Census Bureau estimates. An analysis by Frey shows that it's the smallest increase this century and smaller than any in the last century as well. At the height of the Spanish flu, the growth rate from 1918 to 1919 was 0.49% — even with U.S. troops abroad during World War I. The Northeast and Midwest regions of the U.S. had tiny population declines from 2019 to 2020, while the South and West regions had slight increases.Now this estimate isn't going to be a neat 1-for-1 match to the US Census figures that are due to be released in the next week, but it gives you a prety good idea, and Election Data Services used these new figures, and also projecte back to the April 1 numbers that the Census is based on, to see which states might gain or lose seats in the House of Representatives as maps get redrawn ahead of the 2022 midterms. the state-by-state estimates, it shows that we were not growing by great numbers ourselves, as we were not immune from the slowdown in population growth that happened last year or the last 10 years. the record level of US deaths for 2020, increase birth rates (good luck on people in their 20s and 30s wanting to bring more kids into THIS world) or make America more attractive for immigrants than it was in the Trump era, then this country will also have limited growth. And that's not even accounting for who will (or won't) get those gains. Let's see if the full Census figures get releaed next week, and if they match up with the estimates that we saw come out this week. Then watch the appeals, complaints and gerrymandering attempts follow!
Saturday, December 26, 2020
Population growth grinds to a halt in 2020. Especially in the Midwest
Between the Holidays, the stimulus and the potential shutdown that's coming, you might have missed a remarkable release of data showing another reason 2020 is an extraordinary year in America.
Posted by Jake formerly of the LP at 12:33:00 PM