BREAKING: Wisconsin Supreme Court adopts GOP maps for legislative districts in 4-3 ruling.— JR Ross (@jrrosswrites) April 15, 2022
Justice Hagedorn joined fellow conservatives in majority after originally backing maps @GovEvers drew.
Court rules GOP maps are race-neutral and comply with least-change approach.
RACE NEUTRAL? Because Evers' maps had 90% of the state's districts being majority White wasn't White enough? In a state that's 81% White? Given those numbers, calling Evers' maps a "racial gerrymander" is ridiculous enough, but it's also worth noting that the GOP's maps both significantly increased how Black some districts are, while also reducing the number of districts that are majority-Black to 5 from the current number of 6. The GOP maps also make the 2 majority-Black Senate districts even Blacker.
SCOTUS overturned earlier map. @judgehagedorn wrote in a concurring opinion that he understood that ruling as directing the state justices to start with a race neutral map, writing he sees “the Legislature's proposal constituting our only feasible option.”— JR Ross (@jrrosswrites) April 15, 2022
WI’s new maps score worse than every one of those prior maps on every major partisan fairness metric. A lot worse. The Assembly and Senate maps both have partisan asymmetry levels 3x to 5x higher than the average judicial map. (Based on @PlanScore data from @CampaignLegal.) 3/6— Rob Yablon (@RobYablon) April 18, 2022
It was garbage enough when the Federalist Society hacks on SCOTUS sent these maps back to the Wisconsin Supreme Court to reconsider, but it's also worth remembering that this GOP-favoring decision was on top of the Wis Supreme Court's earlier standard of "least change". That had already locked in much of the GOP's 2010 gerrymander, and was a standard that seems to have been entirely created out of the air. Ok, so we know it's a screw job, but how badly have things changed from Evers' legislative maps? Well, I took a look at it through the Dave's Redistricting app, and the answer is "enough to allow Republicans to get away with a lot more." In the Assembly, Evers' maps had 55 districts that favored Republicans, and 44 that favored Democrats. That's a 6-seat swing toward the Dems vs what we have today under gerrymander 1.0, and in order to capture the Assembly, the Dems would need to win statewide around 55%-45%.
That is virtually unheard of. As the Indiana Supreme Court once wrote, adopting “a plan that has been uniformly supported by one major political party and uniformly opposed by the other is incompatible with … judicial independence and neutrality.” 5/6— Rob Yablon (@RobYablon) April 18, 2022