“All I want to do is this,” [Trump] said. “I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have. Because we won the state.” He later added: “So what are we going to do here, folks? I only need 11,000 votes. Fellas, I need 11,000 votes. Give me a break.”Of course it's something that criminal, and in a functional country, would be grounds for immediate removal from office. But more than it being further proof of how horribly flawed American democracy is in 2020-21, it also made me wonder if perhaps the pre-election polling (that had Biden winning by 5-7% more than he did) wasn't as inaccurate as we were led to believe. I made this comment when I was reviewing the election results in November.
The first item I'll go into turnout, which is something I was wrong about. I said on Monday that if Biden got 1.6 million votes in Wisconsin, Trump had no chance and Biden would win easily. That wasn't the case, as Trump ended up getting more votes than any Republican has ever gotten in Wisconsin. Add in the third-party tallies, and turnout was nearly at 3.3 million votes, shattering the state record by more than 200,000, and going up by more than 10% compared to 2016. These increases were widespread throughout the state with one exception - the City of Milwaukee, which didn't see any additional turnout at all.Well, what if Trump DIDN'T get 1.6 million votes after all? Let's go back to a couple of items I looked into at the time, starting with the places that Trump did better or worse in.
And then overlay it with a stat I created that took into account how much turnout increased in a given county, and then subtracted the population growth (or added for decline) in that county from 2016-2019. As this stat shows, the biggest growth in turnout in Wisconsin was generally in smaller, rural places, many of whom trended towards Trump. By comparison, Dane and Milwaukee Counties had much smaller increases in turnout. he's claiming there are questionable results that should be looked into. If you look at the numbers, they are indeed questionable - in favor of Trump/GOP. And GOPs always project onto others the bad actions they would pull
Wisconsin UNOFFFICIAL votes.— Charles Franklin (@PollsAndVotes) November 9, 2020
The map of the vote margin by county, and of the shift in margin from 2016 to 2020.
A familiar map of red and blue counties. Only Sauk and Door flipped, R->D
Margin change notable that WOW and BOW (Fox Valley) both getting smaller Rep margins